Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Season Fantasy Football Head-to-Head on Kalshi
If Lamar Jackson finishes with the highest season total full-PPR fantasy points among Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson for the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sleeper.
Market says (typical open contract)
46%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
92% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 46¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.89 | 47.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride scores more fantasy points than Brock Bowers in the 2026-27 regular season · Trey McBride | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 14,272 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Jalen Hurts scores more fantasy points than Jayden Daniels in the 2026-27 regular season · Jalen Hurts | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,784 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Drake London scores more fantasy points than A.J. Brown in the 2026-27 regular season · Drake London | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 3,817 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Brock Bowers scores more fantasy points than Trey McBride in the 2026-27 regular season · Brock Bowers | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 3,695 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Christian McCaffrey scores more fantasy points than Jonathan Taylor in the 2026-27 regular season · Christian McCaffrey | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 2,911 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels scores more fantasy points than Jalen Hurts in the 2026-27 regular season · Jayden Daniels | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,812 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs scores more fantasy points than Bijan Robinson in the 2026-27 regular season · Jahmyr Gibbs | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 2,558 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Saquon Barkley scores more fantasy points than Derrick Henry in the 2026-27 regular season · Saquon Barkley | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 2,449 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Drake Maye scores more fantasy points than Caleb Williams in the 2026-27 regular season · Drake Maye | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 2,392 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Bijan Robinson scores more fantasy points than Jahmyr Gibbs in the 2026-27 regular season · Bijan Robinson | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 2,294 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba scores more fantasy points than Puka Nacua in the 2026-27 regular season · Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,236 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Jonathan Taylor scores more fantasy points than Christian McCaffrey in the 2026-27 regular season · Jonathan Taylor | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 1,867 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Puka Nacua scores more fantasy points than Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the 2026-27 regular season · Puka Nacua | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,852 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Caleb Williams scores more fantasy points than Drake Maye in the 2026-27 regular season · Caleb Williams | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 1,719 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Luther Burden III scores more fantasy points than DJ Moore in the 2026-27 regular season · Luther Burden III | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,293 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Derrick Henry scores more fantasy points than Saquon Barkley in the 2026-27 regular season · Derrick Henry | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,260 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Ja'Marr Chase scores more fantasy points than Justin Jefferson in the 2026-27 regular season · Ja'Marr Chase | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 1,046 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| DJ Moore scores more fantasy points than Luther Burden III in the 2026-27 regular season · DJ Moore | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 679 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| DeVonta Smith scores more fantasy points than Jaylen Waddle in the 2026-27 regular season · DeVonta Smith | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 675 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Malik Nabers scores more fantasy points than Garrett Wilson in the 2026-27 regular season · Malik Nabers | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 663 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| A.J. Brown scores more fantasy points than Drake London in the 2026-27 regular season · A.J. Brown | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 602 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Lamar Jackson scores more fantasy points than Josh Allen in the 2026-27 regular season · Lamar Jackson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 435 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Matthew Stafford scores more fantasy points than Patrick Mahomes in the 2026-27 regular season · Matthew Stafford | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 403 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Jaylen Waddle scores more fantasy points than DeVonta Smith in the 2026-27 regular season · Jaylen Waddle | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 295 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Garrett Wilson scores more fantasy points than Malik Nabers in the 2026-27 regular season · Garrett Wilson | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 209 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| CeeDee Lamb scores more fantasy points than Amon-Ra St. Brown in the 2026-27 regular season · CeeDee Lamb | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 199 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown scores more fantasy points than CeeDee Lamb in the 2026-27 regular season · Amon-Ra St. Brown | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 175 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Josh Allen scores more fantasy points than Lamar Jackson in the 2026-27 regular season · Josh Allen | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 70 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Patrick Mahomes scores more fantasy points than Matthew Stafford in the 2026-27 regular season · Patrick Mahomes | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 57 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
| Justin Jefferson scores more fantasy points than Ja'Marr Chase in the 2026-27 regular season · Justin Jefferson | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 17 | Jan 20, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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