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Pro Football Player Fantasy Points on Kalshi
If WAS Commanders D/ST records above 6.3 fantasy points in the Full game (including overtime) of the Washington vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sleeper.
Market says (typical open contract)
38%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
75% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 38¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.17 | 39.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers: Over 17.3 fantasy points · Malik Nabers: Over 17.3 | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 282 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels: Over 19.4 fantasy points · Jayden Daniels: Over 19.4 | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 6 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| WAS Commanders D/ST: Over 6.3 fantasy points · WAS Commanders D/ST: Over 6.3 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Stefon Diggs: Over 11.4 fantasy points · Stefon Diggs: Over 11.4 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Rachaad White: Over 10.7 fantasy points · Rachaad White: Over 10.7 | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Drew Stevens: Over 7.5 fantasy points · Drew Stevens: Over 7.5 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Austin Ekeler: Over 8.1 fantasy points · Austin Ekeler: Over 8.1 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| NY Giants D/ST: Over 7.4 fantasy points · NY Giants D/ST: Over 7.4 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Isaiah Likely: Over 12.6 fantasy points · Isaiah Likely: Over 12.6 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Dominic Zvada: Over 8.3 fantasy points · Dominic Zvada: Over 8.3 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Devin Singletary: Over 9.9 fantasy points · Devin Singletary: Over 9.9 | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.