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Fantasy Ladder on Kalshi

If Each Yes contract pays $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by Stefon Diggs during the Washington vs New York G Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up and limited to $0.00–$1.00. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Sleeper.

Market says (typical open contract)
17%
Median YES price across 4 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
34% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
17¢ (now)1.0¢$2.9118.0%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Isaiah Likely fantasy scalar ladder · Isaiah Likely12¢12%0.7¢—24%171Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Stefon Diggs fantasy scalar ladder · Stefon Diggs11¢11%0.7¢—21%15Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Jayden Daniels fantasy scalar ladder · Jayden Daniels18¢18%1.1¢—37%9Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Malik Nabers fantasy scalar ladder · Malik Nabers17¢17%1.0¢—34%0Nov 15, 01:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.