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Pro Football Player's Fantasy Season Total on Kalshi
If Trey McBride records at least 241 full-PPR fantasy points in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sleeper.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane to score at least 293 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · De'Von Achane: 293+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 3,332 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Joe Burrow to score at least 304 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Joe Burrow: 304+ total points this season | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 3,017 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Kyren Williams to score at least 232 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Kyren Williams: 232+ total points this season | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 2,023 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Drake Maye to score at least 321 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Drake Maye: 321+ total points this season | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 1,677 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| James Cook III to score at least 280 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · James Cook III: 280+ total points this season | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 1,325 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs to score at least 365 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Jahmyr Gibbs: 365+ total points this season | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 1,010 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jalen Hurts to score at least 319 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Jalen Hurts: 319+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 500 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels to score at least 317 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Jayden Daniels: 317+ total points this season | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 500 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Nico Collins to score at least 248 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Nico Collins: 248+ total points this season | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 375 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Dak Prescott to score at least 304 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Dak Prescott: 304+ total points this season | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 281 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Justin Jefferson to score at least 294 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Justin Jefferson: 294+ total points this season | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 253 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Omarion Hampton to score at least 261 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Omarion Hampton: 261+ total points this season | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 210 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Brock Bowers to score at least 241 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Brock Bowers: 241+ total points this season | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 200 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Puka Nacua to score at least 353 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Puka Nacua: 353+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 181 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score at least 326 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 326+ total points this season | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 146 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jonathan Taylor to score at least 316 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Jonathan Taylor: 316+ total points this season | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 120 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Kenneth Walker III to score at least 273 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Kenneth Walker III: 273+ total points this season | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 85 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Josh Allen to score at least 362 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Josh Allen: 362+ total points this season | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 62 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Bijan Robinson to score at least 352 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Bijan Robinson: 352+ total points this season | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 35 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Ashton Jeanty to score at least 278 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Ashton Jeanty: 278+ total points this season | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 25 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Patrick Mahomes to score at least 291 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Patrick Mahomes: 291+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 25 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Chase Brown to score at least 271 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Chase Brown: 271+ total points this season | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 20 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Christian McCaffrey to score at least 341 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Christian McCaffrey: 341+ total points this season | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 17 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Caleb Williams to score at least 291 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Caleb Williams: 291+ total points this season | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 10 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Ja'Marr Chase to score at least 336 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Ja'Marr Chase: 336+ total points this season | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 5 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| George Pickens to score at least 239 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · George Pickens: 239+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 5 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| DeVonta Smith to score at least 229 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · DeVonta Smith: 229+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 5 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Drake London to score at least 269 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Drake London: 269+ total points this season | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 5 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Derrick Henry to score at least 277 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Derrick Henry: 277+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 5 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Trey McBride to score at least 241 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Trey McBride: 241+ total points this season | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Saquon Barkley to score at least 273 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Saquon Barkley: 273+ total points this season | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Lamar Jackson to score at least 322 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Lamar Jackson: 322+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Jeremiyah Love to score at least 276 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Jeremiyah Love: 276+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| CeeDee Lamb to score at least 293 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · CeeDee Lamb: 293+ total points this season | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown to score at least 324 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · Amon-Ra St. Brown: 324+ total points this season | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
| A.J. Brown to score at least 249 total fantasy points in the 2026-27 regular season · A.J. Brown: 249+ total points this season | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jan 19, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.