Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Pro Football Game Specials on Kalshi
If any player records 225+ rushing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
49%
Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any player record 525+ passing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 525+ passing yards in a game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 140 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 475+ passing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 475+ passing yards in a game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 95 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 500+ passing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 500+ passing yards in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 46 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 31 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 300+ rushing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 300+ rushing yards in a game | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 20 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 300+ receiving yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 300+ receiving yards in a game | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 20 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 225+ rushing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 225+ rushing yards in a game | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 4 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 4+ sacks in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 4+ sacks in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 20+ tackles in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 20+ tackles in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 4+ touchdowns (non-passing) in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 4+ touchdowns (non-passing) in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 6+ sacks in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 6+ sacks in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 5+ sacks in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 5+ sacks in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 275+ rushing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 275+ rushing yards in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 250+ rushing yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 250+ rushing yards in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 20+ receptions in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 20+ receptions in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 275+ receiving yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 275+ receiving yards in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 250+ receiving yards in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 250+ receiving yards in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 150+ rushing yards in a single quarter in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 150+ rushing yards in a single quarter | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 150+ receiving yards in a single quarter in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 150+ receiving yards in a single quarter | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 250+ passing yards in a single quarter in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 250+ passing yards in a single quarter | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 6+ passing touchdowns in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 6+ passing touchdowns in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will any player record 2+ defensive/special teams touchdowns in any individual game during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Any player to record 2+ defensive/special teams touchdowns in a game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.