Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Pro Football Matchups on Kalshi
If Tampa Bay and Washington is confirmed to be the matchup in the NFC Championship in the 2026-27 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 496 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Jacksonville vs Chicago · Jacksonville vs Chicago | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 660,346 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs San Francisco · Buffalo vs San Francisco | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 650,812 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Kansas City vs San Francisco · Kansas City vs San Francisco | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 624,645 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Chicago · Buffalo vs Chicago | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 534,684 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Los Angeles R · Buffalo vs Los Angeles R | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 467,386 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Denver vs Los Angeles R · Denver vs Los Angeles R | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 440,721 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Kansas City vs Los Angeles R · Kansas City vs Los Angeles R | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 420,865 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Cincinnati vs San Francisco · Cincinnati vs San Francisco | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 368,982 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs New York G · Buffalo vs New York G | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 312,044 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Kansas City vs Chicago · Kansas City vs Chicago | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 298,631 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Jacksonville vs San Francisco · Jacksonville vs San Francisco | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 291,184 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Kansas City vs Seattle · Kansas City vs Seattle | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 288,019 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Denver vs Chicago · Denver vs Chicago | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 281,789 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Dallas · Buffalo vs Dallas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 267,259 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Cincinnati vs Los Angeles R · Cincinnati vs Los Angeles R | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 262,771 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Denver vs San Francisco · Denver vs San Francisco | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 262,351 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Cincinnati vs Chicago · Cincinnati vs Chicago | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 251,920 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Jacksonville vs Dallas · Jacksonville vs Dallas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 250,121 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Seattle · Buffalo vs Seattle | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 227,713 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Denver vs Seattle · Denver vs Seattle | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 224,287 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Denver vs Green Bay · Denver vs Green Bay | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 223,270 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Jacksonville vs Los Angeles R · Jacksonville vs Los Angeles R | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 223,196 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Philadelphia · Buffalo vs Philadelphia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 223,097 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Cincinnati vs Seattle · Cincinnati vs Seattle | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 221,582 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Baltimore vs Detroit · Baltimore vs Detroit | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 219,213 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Kansas City vs Green Bay · Kansas City vs Green Bay | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 211,291 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Cincinnati vs Detroit · Cincinnati vs Detroit | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 208,604 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Detroit · Buffalo vs Detroit | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 206,385 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Baltimore vs Los Angeles R · Baltimore vs Los Angeles R | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 204,834 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Houston vs San Francisco · Houston vs San Francisco | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 204,075 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Los Angeles C vs Los Angeles R · Los Angeles C vs Los Angeles R | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 202,586 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Green Bay · Buffalo vs Green Bay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 199,331 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Kansas City vs Minnesota · Kansas City vs Minnesota | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 185,592 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Pittsburgh vs San Francisco · Pittsburgh vs San Francisco | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 182,960 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Denver vs Detroit · Denver vs Detroit | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 176,486 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: New England vs Chicago · New England vs Chicago | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 173,978 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: New England vs Seattle · New England vs Seattle | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 172,478 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Baltimore vs Dallas · Baltimore vs Dallas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 171,166 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Denver vs Philadelphia · Denver vs Philadelphia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 169,495 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
| 2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Baltimore vs Seattle · Baltimore vs Seattle | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 165,105 | Feb 21, 23:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 496 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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