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AP Pro Football Offensive Rookie of the Year on Kalshi
If Skyler Bell wins the Pro Football AP Offensive Rookie of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 43 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jadarian Price win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Jadarian Price | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 681,168 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carson Beck win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Carson Beck | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 432,394 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremiyah Love win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Jeremiyah Love | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 420,888 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carnell Tate win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Carnell Tate | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 408,590 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jordyn Tyson win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Jordyn Tyson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 351,145 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fernando Mendoza win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Fernando Mendoza | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 342,158 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denzel Boston win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Denzel Boston | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 298,946 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jonah Coleman win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Jonah Coleman | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 282,846 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Washington Jr. win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Mike Washington Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 271,198 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jalon Daniels win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Jalon Daniels | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 261,697 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Antonio Williams win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Antonio Williams | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 260,191 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will KC Concepcion win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · KC Concepcion | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 255,078 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Germie Bernard win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Germie Bernard | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 248,854 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Makai Lemon win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Makai Lemon | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 239,880 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Omar Cooper Jr. win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Omar Cooper Jr. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 236,406 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ja'Kobi Lane win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Ja'Kobi Lane | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 207,089 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Caleb Douglas win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Caleb Douglas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 190,545 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kenyon Sadiq win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Kenyon Sadiq | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 172,956 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jack Strand win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Jack Strand | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 167,446 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will De'Zhaun Stribling win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · De'Zhaun Stribling | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 163,146 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Bell win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Chris Bell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 135,673 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emmett Johnson win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Emmett Johnson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 132,463 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zachariah Branch win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Zachariah Branch | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 107,852 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ty Simpson win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Ty Simpson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 104,121 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Cameron win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Josh Cameron | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100,447 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kaelon Black win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Kaelon Black | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 90,696 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drew Allar win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Drew Allar | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 85,300 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cyrus Allen win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Cyrus Allen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 82,987 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 22,047 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Malachi Fields win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Malachi Fields | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 21,221 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Eli Raridon win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Eli Raridon | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,217 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cade Klubnik win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Cade Klubnik | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 14,304 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ted Hurst III win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Ted Hurst III | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 13,737 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Garrett Nussmeier win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Garrett Nussmeier | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,834 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Eli Stowers win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Eli Stowers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,832 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Elijah Sarratt win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Elijah Sarratt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,019 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Brazzell II win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Chris Brazzell II | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,683 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kaytron Allen win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Kaytron Allen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,382 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Haynes King win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Haynes King | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,921 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bryce Lance win the Offensive Rookie of the Year? · Bryce Lance | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 100 | Feb 28, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 43 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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