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Pro Football Primetime Games on Kalshi
If Washington plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CBS Sports, ESPN, Fox Sports, NBC Sports, NFL Network, the Associated Press, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
42%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
85% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 42¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.03 | 43.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · New England | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 7,946 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · San Francisco | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 5,948 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Pittsburgh | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 4,422 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Cleveland | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 2,489 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Los Angeles C | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 1,894 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Minnesota | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 1,519 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Tennessee | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,342 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Miami | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 1,308 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Denver | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,033 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Philadelphia | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 904 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Detroit | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 903 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Green Bay | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 857 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Kansas City | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 817 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Las Vegas | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 789 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Atlanta | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 761 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Seattle | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 725 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Chicago | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 660 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Carolina | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 656 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Baltimore | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 649 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Buffalo | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 471 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Washington | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 441 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · New York G | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 395 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Jacksonville | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 365 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · New York J | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 246 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Cincinnati | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 218 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Tampa Bay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 164 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · New Orleans | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 164 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Houston | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 147 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Indianapolis | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 105 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Dallas | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 79 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Los Angeles R | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 72 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
| Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games · Arizona | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 60 | Jan 23, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.