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Pro Football Protector of the Year on Kalshi
If Amarius Mims wins the Pro Football Protector of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trent Williams win the Protector of the Year? · Trent Williams | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 15,130 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Alt win the Protector of the Year? · Joe Alt | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 14,775 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tristan Wirfs win the Protector of the Year? · Tristan Wirfs | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 14,219 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Penei Sewell win the Protector of the Year? · Penei Sewell | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 12,423 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quenton Nelson win the Protector of the Year? · Quenton Nelson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 11,144 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lane Johnson win the Protector of the Year? · Lane Johnson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,657 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Creed Humphrey win the Protector of the Year? · Creed Humphrey | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 7,690 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Laremy Tunsil win the Protector of the Year? · Laremy Tunsil | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,253 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chris Lindstrom win the Protector of the Year? · Chris Lindstrom | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5,182 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dion Dawkins win the Protector of the Year? · Dion Dawkins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,669 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Olaivavega Ioane win the Protector of the Year? · Olaivavega Ioane | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,642 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Will Campbell win the Protector of the Year? · Will Campbell | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,377 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Thuney win the Protector of the Year? · Joe Thuney | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,375 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Andrew Thomas win the Protector of the Year? · Andrew Thomas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,097 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quinn Meinerz win the Protector of the Year? · Quinn Meinerz | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,034 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyler Smith win the Protector of the Year? · Tyler Smith | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,896 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christian Darrisaw win the Protector of the Year? · Christian Darrisaw | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,561 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ronnie Stanley win the Protector of the Year? · Ronnie Stanley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,452 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jordan Mailata win the Protector of the Year? · Jordan Mailata | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,170 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Garett Bolles win the Protector of the Year? · Garett Bolles | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,903 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Landon Dickerson win the Protector of the Year? · Landon Dickerson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,743 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Protector of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,670 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyler Linderbaum win the Protector of the Year? · Tyler Linderbaum | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,429 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Armand Membou win the Protector of the Year? · Armand Membou | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,263 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kolton Miller win the Protector of the Year? · Kolton Miller | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,163 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paris Johnson Jr. win the Protector of the Year? · Paris Johnson Jr. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,138 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Francis Mauigoa win the Protector of the Year? · Francis Mauigoa | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,130 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Spencer Fano win the Protector of the Year? · Spencer Fano | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,088 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zach Tom win the Protector of the Year? · Zach Tom | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,009 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kadyn Proctor win the Protector of the Year? · Kadyn Proctor | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,002 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jack Conklin win the Protector of the Year? · Jack Conklin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,001 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando Brown Jr. win the Protector of the Year? · Orlando Brown Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,985 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Charles Cross win the Protector of the Year? · Charles Cross | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,972 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Robert Hunt win the Protector of the Year? · Robert Hunt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,892 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Decker win the Protector of the Year? · Taylor Decker | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,891 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jake Matthews win the Protector of the Year? · Jake Matthews | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,891 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cam Jurgens win the Protector of the Year? · Cam Jurgens | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,891 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alijah Vera-Tucker win the Protector of the Year? · Alijah Vera-Tucker | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,891 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bernhard Raimann win the Protector of the Year? · Bernhard Raimann | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,885 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amarius Mims win the Protector of the Year? · Amarius Mims | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,866 | Feb 21, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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