Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Rushing Yards Protected on Kalshi
If Drake Maye records 60+ rushing yards in the New England vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
24%
Median YES price across 86 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
49% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.66 | 25.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels: 40+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jayden Daniels: 40+ | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 142 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Devin Singletary: 25+ rushing yards (Protected) · Devin Singletary: 25+ | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 25 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 100+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jahmyr Gibbs: 100+ | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 3 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels: 50+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jayden Daniels: 50+ | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 3 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels: 30+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jayden Daniels: 30+ | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 1 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Austin Ekeler: 30+ rushing yards (Protected) · Austin Ekeler: 30+ | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 1 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels: 15+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jayden Daniels: 15+ | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 90+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jahmyr Gibbs: 90+ | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Jayden Daniels: 20+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jayden Daniels: 20+ | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 60+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 60+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 50+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 50+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 40+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 40+ | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 30+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 30+ | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 25+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 25+ | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 20+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 20+ | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 15+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 15+ | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Drake Maye: 10+ rushing yards (Protected) · Drake Maye: 10+ | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 90+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 90+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 80+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 80+ | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 70+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 70+ | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 60+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 60+ | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 55+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 55+ | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 50+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 50+ | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 40+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 40+ | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 30+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 30+ | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 120+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 120+ | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 110+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 110+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Corey Kiner: 100+ rushing yards (Protected) · Corey Kiner: 100+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 60+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 60+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 50+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 50+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 40+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 40+ | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 30+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 30+ | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 25+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 25+ | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 20+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 20+ | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 15+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 15+ | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Sione Vaki: 10+ rushing yards (Protected) · Sione Vaki: 10+ | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Jared Goff: 15+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jared Goff: 15+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Jared Goff: 10+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jared Goff: 10+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 80+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jahmyr Gibbs: 80+ | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 70+ rushing yards (Protected) · Jahmyr Gibbs: 70+ | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 86 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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