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Rushing Yards on Kalshi
If Saquon Barkley records 1500+ rushing yards during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
42%
Median YES price across 116 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
84% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 42¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.03 | 43.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashton Jeanty record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ashton Jeanty | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 9,910 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saquon Barkley record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Saquon Barkley | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 8,505 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ashton Jeanty record 1250+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ashton Jeanty | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 6,821 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremiyah Love record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jeremiyah Love | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,652 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kenneth Walker III record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Kenneth Walker III | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 6,409 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Omarion Hampton record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Omarion Hampton | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 6,322 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jahmyr Gibbs | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 6,014 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Montgomery record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · David Montgomery | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 5,980 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jadarian Price record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jadarian Price | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 5,575 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Javonte Williams record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Javonte Williams | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 5,218 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jonathon Brooks record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jonathon Brooks | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 4,427 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cam Skattebo record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Cam Skattebo | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 4,288 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chase Brown record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chase Brown | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 4,181 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lamar Jackson record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Lamar Jackson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 4,161 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs record 1500+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jahmyr Gibbs | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 4,016 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bijan Robinson record 1250+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bijan Robinson | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 3,908 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ashton Jeanty record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Ashton Jeanty | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 3,788 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jadarian Price record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jadarian Price | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 3,713 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bucky Irving record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bucky Irving | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 3,524 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saquon Barkley record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Saquon Barkley | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 3,512 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kenneth Walker III record 1250+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Kenneth Walker III | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 3,495 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bijan Robinson record 1500+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bijan Robinson | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 3,325 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saquon Barkley record 1500+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Saquon Barkley | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 3,104 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bucky Irving record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bucky Irving | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,732 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Christian McCaffrey record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Christian McCaffrey | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 2,711 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jaylen Warren record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jaylen Warren | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 2,629 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bijan Robinson record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Bijan Robinson | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,621 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will TreVeyon Henderson record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · TreVeyon Henderson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 2,558 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Monangai record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Kyle Monangai | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 2,553 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremiyah Love record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jeremiyah Love | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 2,530 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Montgomery record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · David Montgomery | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 2,527 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quinshon Judkins record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Quinshon Judkins | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 2,523 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Saquon Barkley record 1250+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Saquon Barkley | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,472 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chuba Hubbard record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Chuba Hubbard | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,430 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Omarion Hampton record 1250+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Omarion Hampton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,332 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremiyah Love record 1250+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Jeremiyah Love | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,214 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kenneth Walker III record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Kenneth Walker III | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,023 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kenneth Walker III record 1500+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Kenneth Walker III | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 1,902 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will James Cook III record 1000+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · James Cook III | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,895 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rhamondre Stevenson record 750+ rushing yards during 2026-27 Pro Football regular season? · Rhamondre Stevenson | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 1,856 | Feb 02, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 116 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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