Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NFL Playoff Seed on Kalshi
If Washington is the #6 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 192 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta be the #4 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Atlanta | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 3,412 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas be the #7 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Las Vegas | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,451 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota be the #3 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,336 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · San Francisco | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 2,125 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Minnesota | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,073 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver be the #2 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Denver | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 1,655 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas be the #6 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Las Vegas | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,649 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee be the #6 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Tennessee | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,535 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle be the #5 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Seattle | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,459 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Dallas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,443 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland be the #6 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Cleveland | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 1,389 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina be the #4 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Carolina | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 1,363 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York be the #7 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New York | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,361 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago be the #7 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Chicago | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,335 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Seattle | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,278 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Los Angeles | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,269 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit be the #4 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Detroit | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,267 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago be the #3 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Chicago | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,241 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay be the #7 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Green Bay | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 1,208 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo be the #2 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Buffalo | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 1,198 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco be the #7 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · San Francisco | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,195 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be the #3 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Dallas | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 1,188 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans be the #4 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New Orleans | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 1,105 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston be the #7 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Houston | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 1,050 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo be the #7 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Buffalo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,046 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York be the #4 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New York | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,029 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati be the #7 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Cincinnati | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,028 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Chicago | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 1,016 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati be the #5 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Cincinnati | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 929 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Green Bay | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 922 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville be the #5 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Jacksonville | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 875 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco be the #5 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · San Francisco | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 801 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas be the #4 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Dallas | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 785 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Detroit | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 782 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia be the #2 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Philadelphia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 745 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh be the #6 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Pittsburgh | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 739 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C be the #7 seed in the American Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Los Angeles C | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 739 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York be the #6 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · New York | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 731 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay be the #4 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Tampa Bay | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 729 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle be the #7 seed in the National Football Conference in the 2026-27 Pro Football playoffs? · Seattle | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 724 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 192 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.