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Who will allow the least/most points this season on Kalshi
If the Washington Pro Football Team allows the fewest points scored in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Minnesota allow the fewest points scored? · Minnesota | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 3,492 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston allow the fewest points scored? · Houston | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 3,164 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver allow the fewest points scored? · Denver | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 2,707 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle allow the fewest points scored? · Seattle | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 2,297 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia allow the fewest points scored? · Philadelphia | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,794 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R allow the fewest points scored? · Los Angeles R | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,709 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas allow the fewest points scored? · Dallas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,670 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona allow the fewest points scored? · Arizona | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,471 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New England allow the fewest points scored? · New England | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,385 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baltimore allow the fewest points scored? · Baltimore | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,325 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville allow the fewest points scored? · Jacksonville | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,137 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami allow the fewest points scored? · Miami | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,127 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indianapolis allow the fewest points scored? · Indianapolis | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,003 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City allow the fewest points scored? · Kansas City | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 962 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles C allow the fewest points scored? · Los Angeles C | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 949 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo allow the fewest points scored? · Buffalo | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 878 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta allow the fewest points scored? · Atlanta | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 817 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay allow the fewest points scored? · Green Bay | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 757 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York J allow the fewest points scored? · New York J | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 742 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas allow the fewest points scored? · Las Vegas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 699 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago allow the fewest points scored? · Chicago | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 687 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh allow the fewest points scored? · Pittsburgh | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 687 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G allow the fewest points scored? · New York G | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 430 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati allow the fewest points scored? · Cincinnati | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 397 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans allow the fewest points scored? · New Orleans | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 393 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland allow the fewest points scored? · Cleveland | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 350 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina allow the fewest points scored? · Carolina | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 337 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit allow the fewest points scored? · Detroit | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 326 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco allow the fewest points scored? · San Francisco | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 315 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay allow the fewest points scored? · Tampa Bay | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 189 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington allow the fewest points scored? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 144 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee allow the fewest points scored? · Tennessee | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 47 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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