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Pro Football Team Total Points on Kalshi
If Los Angeles C scores over 7.5 points in the Los Angeles C vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 381 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo over 24.5 points scored · Buffalo over 24.5 points | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 913 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Los Angeles C over 17.5 points scored · Los Angeles C over 17.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 733 | Nov 19, 01:15 UTC |
| Washington over 20.5 points scored · Washington over 20.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 365 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| San Francisco over 30.5 points scored · San Francisco over 30.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 358 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Los Angeles R over 24.5 points scored · Los Angeles R over 24.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 319 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Green Bay over 20.5 points scored · Green Bay over 20.5 points | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 311 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Washington over 17.5 points scored · Washington over 17.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 179 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Minnesota over 21.5 points scored · Minnesota over 21.5 points | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 141 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Buffalo over 10.5 points scored · Buffalo over 10.5 points | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 117 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| New York G over 17.5 points scored · New York G over 17.5 points | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 103 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| San Francisco over 7.5 points scored · San Francisco over 7.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 102 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| San Francisco over 3.5 points scored · San Francisco over 3.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 102 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Dallas over 3.5 points scored · Dallas over 3.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 102 | Nov 17, 21:25 UTC |
| Los Angeles R over 3.5 points scored · Los Angeles R over 3.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 102 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Detroit over 3.5 points scored · Detroit over 3.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 102 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| New York G over 3.5 points scored · New York G over 3.5 points | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 102 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Houston over 3.5 points scored · Houston over 3.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 101 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Baltimore over 3.5 points scored · Baltimore over 3.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 101 | Nov 19, 01:15 UTC |
| New York G over 28.5 points scored · New York G over 28.5 points | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 99 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Buffalo over 30.5 points scored · Buffalo over 30.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 93 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| New England over 24.5 points scored · New England over 24.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 79 | Nov 17, 14:30 UTC |
| Minnesota over 19.5 points scored · Minnesota over 19.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 61 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Carolina over 17.5 points scored · Carolina over 17.5 points | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 57 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Jacksonville over 31.5 points scored · Jacksonville over 31.5 points | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 51 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| New York G over 22.5 points scored · New York G over 22.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 48 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Cleveland over 14.5 points scored · Cleveland over 14.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 37 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Seattle over 23.5 points scored · Seattle over 23.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 37 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Buffalo over 31.5 points scored · Buffalo over 31.5 points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 37 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| New York G over 20.5 points scored · New York G over 20.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 35 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Minnesota over 17.5 points scored · Minnesota over 17.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 31 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Las Vegas over 14.5 points scored · Las Vegas over 14.5 points | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 31 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Pittsburgh over 22.5 points scored · Pittsburgh over 22.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 28 | Nov 18, 01:20 UTC |
| Cincinnati over 35.5 points scored · Cincinnati over 35.5 points | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 26 | Nov 18, 01:20 UTC |
| Green Bay over 24.5 points scored · Green Bay over 24.5 points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 25 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Washington over 3.5 points scored · Washington over 3.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 22 | Nov 15, 01:15 UTC |
| Minnesota over 20.5 points scored · Minnesota over 20.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 17 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 21.5 points scored · New Orleans over 21.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 15 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Carolina over 20.5 points scored · Carolina over 20.5 points | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 15 | Nov 17, 18:00 UTC |
| Arizona over 17.5 points scored · Arizona over 17.5 points | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 14 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
| Seattle over 24.5 points scored · Seattle over 24.5 points | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 10 | Nov 17, 21:05 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 381 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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