Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NFL Team Specials on Kalshi
If Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
49%
Median YES price across 279 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game? · J.J. McCarthy records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 6,115 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Jalen Hurts records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game? · Jalen Hurts records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 4,796 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game? · Kyler Murray records 3+ passing touchdowns in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 4,752 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Ashton Jeanty records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · Ashton Jeanty records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 4,393 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Antonio Williams records 100+ receiving yards in a single game? · Antonio Williams records 100+ receiving yards in a single game | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 4,170 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Tua Tagovailoa records 1500+ passing yards? · Tua Tagovailoa records 1500+ passing yards | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 4,151 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Mike Washington Jr. records 100+ rushing yards in a single game? · Mike Washington Jr. records 100+ rushing yards in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 4,104 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| James Cook III records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · James Cook III records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 4,060 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Christian McCaffrey records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · Christian McCaffrey records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 3,766 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Shedeur Sanders records 1500+ passing yards? · Shedeur Sanders records 1500+ passing yards | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 3,726 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards? · Mike Washington Jr. records 500+ rushing yards | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 3,666 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Bijan Robinson records 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in a single game? · Bijan Robinson records 100+ rushing yards and 100+ receiving yards in a single game | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 3,544 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| De'Von Achane records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · De'Von Achane records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,515 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Ja'Kobi Lane records 80+ receiving yards in a single game? · Ja'Kobi Lane records 80+ receiving yards in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 3,251 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Jadarian Price records 50+ rushing yards and 50+ receiving yards in a single game? · Jadarian Price records 50+ rushing yards and 50+ receiving yards in a single game | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 3,199 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| The Chicago Pro Football Team throw for 400+ yards in a single game? · Chicago throw for 400+ yards in a single game | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 3,191 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Michael Wilson records 150+ receiving yards in a single game? · Michael Wilson records 150+ receiving yards in a single game | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,075 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Jeremiyah Love records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · Jeremiyah Love records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 3,050 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| The Arizona Pro Football Team throw for 400+ yards in a single game? · Arizona throw for 400+ yards in a single game | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 2,993 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Derrick Henry records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · Derrick Henry records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 2,860 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Denzel Boston scores 2+ touchdowns in a game? · Denzel Boston scores 2+ touchdowns in a game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2,776 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Javonte Williams records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · Javonte Williams records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 2,713 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Lamar Jackson records 2+ rushing touchdowns in a single game? · Lamar Jackson records 2+ rushing touchdowns in a single game | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 2,668 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Parker Washington records 150+ receiving yards in a single game? · Parker Washington records 150+ receiving yards in a single game | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 2,663 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| De'Von Achane records 3+ touchdowns in a single game? · De'Von Achane records 3+ touchdowns in a single game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 2,654 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards? · Anthony Richardson Sr. records 750+ passing yards | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 2,639 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| DJ Moore records 150+ receiving yards in a single game? · DJ Moore records 150+ receiving yards in a single game | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 2,627 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Myles Garrett records 4+ sacks in a single game? · Myles Garrett records 4+ sacks in a single game | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2,588 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| CeeDee Lamb scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game? · CeeDee Lamb scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2,411 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Tucker Kraft records 150+ receiving yards in a single game? · Tucker Kraft records 150+ receiving yards in a single game | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 2,393 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Justin Jefferson records 200+ receiving yards in a single game? · Justin Jefferson records 200+ receiving yards in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2,323 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Mike Evans records 150+ receiving yards in a single game? · Mike Evans records 150+ receiving yards in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 2,313 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| The Seattle Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game? · Seattle allow 0 points in a single game | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2,311 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Christian McCaffrey scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game? · Christian McCaffrey scores 3+ touchdowns in a single game | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 2,280 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| The Baltimore Pro Football Team allow 0 points in a single game? · Baltimore allow 0 points in a single game | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 2,279 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Pat Bryant records 125+ receiving yards in a single game? · Pat Bryant records 125+ receiving yards in a single game | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 2,264 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Kenneth Walker III records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game? · Kenneth Walker III records 75+ rushing yards and 75+ receiving yards in a single game | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 2,261 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| George Pickens records 200+ receiving yards in a single game? · George Pickens records 200+ receiving yards in a single game | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 2,218 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
| Jaxson Dart records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game? · Jaxson Dart records 4+ passing touchdowns in a single game | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 2,201 | Jan 25, 15:00 UTC |
| Bo Nix scores 2+ rushing touchdowns in a single game? · Bo Nix scores 2+ rushing touchdowns in a single game | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 2,166 | Jan 18, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 279 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.