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Weekly Most Passing Yards on Kalshi
If Jayden Daniels records the most passing yards across all Pro Football games in Week 10, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Jayden Daniels | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Cam Ward: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Cam Ward | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Brock Purdy: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Brock Purdy | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Aaron Rodgers: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Aaron Rodgers | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Geno Smith: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Geno Smith | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Tyler Shough: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Tyler Shough | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Drake Maye: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Drake Maye | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Carson Wentz: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Carson Wentz | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Kirk Cousins: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Kirk Cousins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Matthew Stafford: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Matthew Stafford | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Trevor Lawrence: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Trevor Lawrence | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Daniel Jones: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Daniel Jones | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| C.J. Stroud: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · C.J. Stroud | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Jordan Love: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Jordan Love | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Jared Goff: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Jared Goff | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Dak Prescott: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Dak Prescott | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Joe Burrow: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Joe Burrow | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Bryce Young: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Bryce Young | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Josh Allen: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Josh Allen | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Jacoby Brissett: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Jacoby Brissett | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Michael Penix Jr.: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Michael Penix Jr. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
| Carson Beck: most passing yards in Pro Football Week 10 · Carson Beck | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 01, 01:15 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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