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Pro Football Wins on Kalshi
If any Pro Football team wins 17 games in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 275 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia pro football team win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 632,090 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 527,217 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 507,554 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 487,433 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Baltimore pro football team win at least 12 games this season? · 12+ wins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 484,936 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Carolina pro football team win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 300,846 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 6 games this season? · 6+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 299,221 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles C pro football team win at least 6 games this season? · 6+ wins | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 268,497 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the New York G pro football team win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 261,033 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Pittsburgh pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 258,851 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Chicago pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 254,786 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles C pro football team win at least 5 games this season? · 5+ wins | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 235,950 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the New England pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 232,023 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Jacksonville pro football team win at least 12 games this season? · 12+ wins | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 219,171 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 214,033 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Dallas pro football team win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 165,397 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Miami pro football team win at least 4 games this season? · 4+ wins | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 158,170 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Green Bay pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 158,150 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Cleveland pro football team win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 153,237 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Chicago pro football team win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 143,023 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 13 games this season? · 13+ wins | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 143,015 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the New York G pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 141,554 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Miami pro football team win at least 5 games this season? · 5+ wins | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 125,032 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota pro football team win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 123,625 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 12 games this season? · 12+ wins | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 118,140 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Minnesota pro football team win at least 9 games this season? · 9+ wins | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 116,912 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington pro football team win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 116,838 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 11 games this season? · 11+ wins | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 116,599 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 116,543 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington pro football team win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 115,538 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 5 games this season? · 5+ wins | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 115,422 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the New England pro football team win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 113,665 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least 8 games this season? · 8+ wins | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 112,015 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston pro football team win at least 10 games this season? · 10+ wins | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 111,557 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 109,224 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 4 games this season? · 4+ wins | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 104,785 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Chicago pro football team win at least 11 games this season? · 11+ wins | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 103,469 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona pro football team win at least 6 games this season? · 6+ wins | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 101,839 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the Seattle pro football team win at least 11 games this season? · 11+ wins | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 99,519 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
| Will the New York G pro football team win at least 7 games this season? · 7+ wins | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 98,330 | Jan 18, 05:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 275 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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