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2nd Period Spread on Kalshi
If Nashville wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 2nd period of the Nashville vs Anaheim NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, NHL.
Market says (typical open contract)
18%
Median YES price across 26 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
36% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.87 | 19.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Anaheim wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Anaheim wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Vegas wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Vegas wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Utah wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Utah wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| San Jose wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · San Jose wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Tampa Bay wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Buffalo wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Buffalo wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| New York R wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · New York R wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
| Calgary wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
| Nashville wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Nashville wins by over 1.5 goals | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Los Angeles wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| St. Louis wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · St. Louis wins by over 1.5 goals | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Detroit wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Detroit wins by over 1.5 goals | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Winnipeg wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Winnipeg wins by over 1.5 goals | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| New Jersey wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · New Jersey wins by over 1.5 goals | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Florida wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Florida wins by over 1.5 goals | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Columbus wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Columbus wins by over 1.5 goals | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Washington wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Washington wins by over 1.5 goals | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Ottawa wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Ottawa wins by over 1.5 goals | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Montreal wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Minnesota wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Toronto wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Toronto wins by over 1.5 goals | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Colorado wins 2nd Period by over 1.5 goals · Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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