Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Eastern Conference Championship on Kalshi
If the Washington Capitals win the 2026-27 NHL Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Boston Bruins | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 33,234 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the New York Rangers win the Eastern Conference Finals? · New York Rangers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 26,982 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference Finals? · New Jersey Devils | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 21,127 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Montreal Canadiens | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 19,450 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Buffalo Sabres | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 17,156 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Philadelphia Flyers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 15,228 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Carolina Hurricanes | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 13,202 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Tampa Bay Lightning | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 13,076 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Washington Capitals | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 12,723 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Florida Panthers | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 12,472 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Ottawa Senators | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 11,170 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Columbus Blue Jackets | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 10,970 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference Finals? · New York Islanders | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 10,528 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Pittsburgh Penguins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,877 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Toronto Maple Leafs | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 8,206 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference Finals? · Detroit Red Wings | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,863 | Jul 15, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.