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NHL Goal in First 10 Minutes on Kalshi
If at least 1 goal is scored by either Carolina or Seattle during the first 10 minutes of the first period (from 0:00 elapsed up to, but not including, 10:00 elapsed) in the Carolina vs Seattle NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
60%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
80% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 60¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.40 | 61.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 1,028 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 282 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 212 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 118 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 57 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 26 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 22 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 14, 17:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:00 UTC |
| Either team to score in the first 10 minutes · Goal in first 10 min | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 14, 00:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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