Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NHL Goalscorer on Kalshi
If Michael McCarron records 2+ goals in the Minnesota vs Montreal NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 419 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Meier: 1+ goals · Timo Meier: 1+ | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 22,622 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ goals · Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 10,669 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Darren Raddysh: 1+ goals · Darren Raddysh: 1+ | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 8,498 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Nicolas Roy: 1+ goals · Nicolas Roy: 1+ | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 5,837 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Drake Batherson: 1+ goals · Drake Batherson: 1+ | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 5,268 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Nicolas Roy: 2+ goals · Nicolas Roy: 2+ | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5,000 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Brent Burns: 1+ goals · Brent Burns: 1+ | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 4,631 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Dougie Hamilton: 1+ goals · Dougie Hamilton: 1+ | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 3,711 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Auston Matthews: 1+ goals · Auston Matthews: 1+ | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 2,757 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Brady Tkachuk: 1+ goals · Brady Tkachuk: 1+ | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 2,402 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Brett Pesce: 1+ goals · Brett Pesce: 1+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,316 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Alex Ovechkin: 1+ goals · Alex Ovechkin: 1+ | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,907 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Artturi Lehkonen: 3+ goals · Artturi Lehkonen: 3+ | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,870 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Arseny Gritsyuk: 1+ goals · Arseny Gritsyuk: 1+ | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 1,718 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Johnathan Kovacevic: 1+ goals · Johnathan Kovacevic: 1+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,585 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| John Tavares: 1+ goals · John Tavares: 1+ | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 1,299 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Sam Bennett: 1+ goals · Sam Bennett: 1+ | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 1,274 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Mathieu Olivier: 1+ goals · Mathieu Olivier: 1+ | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 1,124 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Easton Cowan: 1+ goals · Easton Cowan: 1+ | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 864 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Radko Gudas: 1+ goals · Radko Gudas: 1+ | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 843 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Cale Makar: 1+ goals · Cale Makar: 1+ | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 705 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Artturi Lehkonen: 2+ goals · Artturi Lehkonen: 2+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 700 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jack Hughes: 1+ goals · Jack Hughes: 1+ | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 673 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jack Roslovic: 1+ goals · Jack Roslovic: 1+ | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 657 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Viggo Bjorck: 1+ goals · Viggo Bjorck: 1+ | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 585 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Connor McMichael: 1+ goals · Connor McMichael: 1+ | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 528 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Nathan MacKinnon: 1+ goals · Nathan MacKinnon: 1+ | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 508 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Chris Kreider: 1+ goals · Chris Kreider: 1+ | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 475 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Mathieu Olivier: 2+ goals · Mathieu Olivier: 2+ | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 467 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Arber Xhekaj: 1+ goals · Arber Xhekaj: 1+ | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 409 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Gavin McKenna: 1+ goals · Gavin McKenna: 1+ | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 319 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jake McCabe: 1+ goals · Jake McCabe: 1+ | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 312 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Alex Tuch: 1+ goals · Alex Tuch: 1+ | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 310 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Steven Stamkos: 3+ goals · Steven Stamkos: 3+ | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 280 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Nico Hischier: 1+ goals · Nico Hischier: 1+ | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 253 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Nathan MacKinnon: 2+ goals · Nathan MacKinnon: 2+ | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 245 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Troy Stecher: 1+ goals · Troy Stecher: 1+ | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 238 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Anton Lundell: 1+ goals · Anton Lundell: 1+ | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 237 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ goals · Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 221 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Adam Engstrom: 1+ goals · Adam Engstrom: 1+ | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 217 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 419 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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