Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Pro Hockey Points on Kalshi
If Michael Brandsegg-Nygård records 2+ points in the Detroit vs St. Louis NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL.
Market says (typical open contract)
24%
Median YES price across 270 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
47% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $2.70 | 24.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon: 2+ points · Nathan MacKinnon: 2+ | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 1,360 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Matthew Tkachuk: 1+ points · Matthew Tkachuk: 1+ | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 1,162 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Quinn Hughes: 1+ points · Quinn Hughes: 1+ | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 713 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Arseny Gritsyuk: 1+ points · Arseny Gritsyuk: 1+ | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 466 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Kent Johnson: 1+ points · Kent Johnson: 1+ | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 397 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Luke Hughes: 1+ points · Luke Hughes: 1+ | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 360 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Carter Verhaeghe: 1+ points · Carter Verhaeghe: 1+ | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 324 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Josh Morrissey: 1+ points · Josh Morrissey: 1+ | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 299 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Auston Matthews: 1+ points · Auston Matthews: 1+ | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 287 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Emmitt Finnie: 1+ points · Emmitt Finnie: 1+ | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 283 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Nathan MacKinnon: 1+ points · Nathan MacKinnon: 1+ | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 268 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Nazem Kadri: 1+ points · Nazem Kadri: 1+ | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 265 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Cam Fowler: 1+ points · Cam Fowler: 1+ | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 217 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Artturi Lehkonen: 1+ points · Artturi Lehkonen: 1+ | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 187 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jesper Bratt: 1+ points · Jesper Bratt: 1+ | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 154 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Nick Suzuki: 1+ points · Nick Suzuki: 1+ | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 147 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Cale Makar: 1+ points · Cale Makar: 1+ | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 123 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Cole Hutson: 1+ points · Cole Hutson: 1+ | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 120 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Cale Makar: 2+ points · Cale Makar: 2+ | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 117 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| T.J. Hughes: 1+ points · T.J. Hughes: 1+ | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 114 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Quinn Hughes: 2+ points · Quinn Hughes: 2+ | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 94 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Gabriel Vilardi: 1+ points · Gabriel Vilardi: 1+ | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 90 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Seth Jones: 1+ points · Seth Jones: 1+ | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 88 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Kirill Kaprizov: 2+ points · Kirill Kaprizov: 2+ | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 87 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ points · Kirill Kaprizov: 1+ | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 78 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ points · Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+ | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 71 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Matthew Tkachuk: 2+ points · Matthew Tkachuk: 2+ | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 69 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Emmitt Finnie: 2+ points · Emmitt Finnie: 2+ | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 62 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Martin Necas: 2+ points · Martin Necas: 2+ | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 61 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Connor Brown: 1+ points · Connor Brown: 1+ | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 57 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Tom Wilson: 1+ points · Tom Wilson: 1+ | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 53 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Brady Tkachuk: 1+ points · Brady Tkachuk: 1+ | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 51 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Luke Hughes: 2+ points · Luke Hughes: 2+ | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 49 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Alex Ovechkin: 1+ points · Alex Ovechkin: 1+ | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 49 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jack Hughes: 2+ points · Jack Hughes: 2+ | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 48 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Drake Batherson: 1+ points · Drake Batherson: 1+ | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 41 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Luke Evangelista: 2+ points · Luke Evangelista: 2+ | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 41 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Brady Tkachuk: 2+ points · Brady Tkachuk: 2+ | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 40 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
| Adrian Kempe: 1+ points · Adrian Kempe: 1+ | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 39 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Anton Lundell: 1+ points · Anton Lundell: 1+ | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 39 | Nov 13, 00:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 270 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.