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Season Player Points on Kalshi
If Zach Werenski scores at least 110 points during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NHL.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 90 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Suzuki: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Nick Suzuki | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 11,854 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Connor McDavid: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Connor McDavid | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,402 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Cale Makar: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Cale Makar | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 5,982 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Mark Stone: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Mark Stone | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 4,677 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Leon Draisaitl: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Leon Draisaitl | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 3,610 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Martin Necas: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Martin Necas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 3,443 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Mitch Marner: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Mitch Marner | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 3,209 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Clayton Keller: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Clayton Keller | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 2,555 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Kirill Kaprizov: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Kirill Kaprizov | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 2,206 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Kyle Connor: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Kyle Connor | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 2,108 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| David Pastrnak: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · David Pastrnak | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,826 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Evan Bouchard: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Evan Bouchard | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,638 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Jack Eichel: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Jack Eichel | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,577 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Nikita Kucherov: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Nikita Kucherov | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,118 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Jack Hughes: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Jack Hughes | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 1,013 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Nathan MacKinnon: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Nathan MacKinnon | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 753 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Cole Caufield: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Cole Caufield | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 702 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Matt Boldy: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Matt Boldy | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 597 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Sidney Crosby: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Sidney Crosby | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 575 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Mikko Rantanen: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Mikko Rantanen | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 387 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| William Nylander: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · William Nylander | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 333 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Tim Stutzle: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Tim Stutzle | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 118 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Macklin Celebrini: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Macklin Celebrini | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 94 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Wyatt Johnston: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Wyatt Johnston | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 43 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Macklin Celebrini: 110+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Macklin Celebrini | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 39 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| David Pastrnak: 100+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · David Pastrnak | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 34 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Jason Robertson: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Jason Robertson | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 26 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Jake Guentzel: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Jake Guentzel | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 24 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Connor McDavid: 110+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Connor McDavid | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 20 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Brandon Hagel: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Brandon Hagel | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 18 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Connor McDavid: 100+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Connor McDavid | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 16 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Nathan MacKinnon: 100+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Nathan MacKinnon | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 10 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Evan Bouchard: 100+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Evan Bouchard | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 10 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Macklin Celebrini: 100+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Macklin Celebrini | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 9 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Zach Werenski: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Zach Werenski | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 9 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Mark Scheifele: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Mark Scheifele | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 7 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Artemi Panarin: 90+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Artemi Panarin | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 6 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Mark Stone: 100+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Mark Stone | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 5 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Tim Stutzle: 100+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Tim Stutzle | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Jack Hughes: 110+ points in 2026-27 NHL regular season? · Jack Hughes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 13, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 90 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.