Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NHL Team Goals Scored During Game on Kalshi
If Nashville scores over 5.5 goals in the Nashville vs Anaheim NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the National Hockey League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 130 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey over 3.5 goals scored · New Jersey over 3.5 | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 86 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Colorado over 4.5 goals scored · Colorado over 4.5 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 5 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Toronto over 4.5 goals scored · Toronto over 4.5 | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 4 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Nashville over 5.5 goals scored · Nashville over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Nashville over 4.5 goals scored · Nashville over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Nashville over 3.5 goals scored · Nashville over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Nashville over 2.5 goals scored · Nashville over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Nashville over 1.5 goals scored · Nashville over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Anaheim over 5.5 goals scored · Anaheim over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Anaheim over 4.5 goals scored · Anaheim over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Anaheim over 3.5 goals scored · Anaheim over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Anaheim over 2.5 goals scored · Anaheim over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Anaheim over 1.5 goals scored · Anaheim over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Vegas over 5.5 goals scored · Vegas over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Vegas over 4.5 goals scored · Vegas over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Vegas over 3.5 goals scored · Vegas over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Vegas over 2.5 goals scored · Vegas over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Vegas over 1.5 goals scored · Vegas over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Utah over 5.5 goals scored · Utah over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Utah over 4.5 goals scored · Utah over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Utah over 3.5 goals scored · Utah over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Utah over 2.5 goals scored · Utah over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| Utah over 1.5 goals scored · Utah over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:30 UTC |
| San Jose over 5.5 goals scored · San Jose over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| San Jose over 4.5 goals scored · San Jose over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| San Jose over 3.5 goals scored · San Jose over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| San Jose over 2.5 goals scored · San Jose over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| San Jose over 1.5 goals scored · San Jose over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh over 5.5 goals scored · Pittsburgh over 5.5 | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh over 4.5 goals scored · Pittsburgh over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh over 3.5 goals scored · Pittsburgh over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh over 2.5 goals scored · Pittsburgh over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Pittsburgh over 1.5 goals scored · Pittsburgh over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 03:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 5.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 4.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 3.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 3.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 2.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 2.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Philadelphia over 1.5 goals scored · Philadelphia over 1.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton over 5.5 goals scored · Edmonton over 5.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Edmonton over 4.5 goals scored · Edmonton over 4.5 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 14, 02:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 130 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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