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NHL Vezina Trophy on Kalshi
If Yaroslav Askarov wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, NHL.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 40 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vezina Trophy: Jacob Markstrom wins · Jacob Markstrom | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 13,686 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Igor Shesterkin wins · Igor Shesterkin | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5,953 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Connor Hellebuyck wins · Connor Hellebuyck | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 5,126 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Jeremy Swayman wins · Jeremy Swayman | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 3,411 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Jake Oettinger wins · Jake Oettinger | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2,522 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Linus Ullmark wins · Linus Ullmark | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,495 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Pyotr Kochetkov wins · Pyotr Kochetkov | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 2,421 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Ilya Sorokin wins · Ilya Sorokin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,398 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Logan Thompson wins · Logan Thompson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,343 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Spencer Knight wins · Spencer Knight | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,261 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Andrei Vasilevskiy wins · Andrei Vasilevskiy | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,146 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Samuel Montembeault wins · Samuel Montembeault | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,040 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Stuart Skinner wins · Stuart Skinner | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,037 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Filip Gustavsson wins · Filip Gustavsson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,638 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Joey Daccord wins · Joey Daccord | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,007 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Lukas Dostal wins · Lukas Dostal | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 930 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen wins · Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 701 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Karel Vejmelka wins · Karel Vejmelka | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 584 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Jet Greaves wins · Jet Greaves | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 488 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Sergei Bobrovsky wins · Sergei Bobrovsky | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 472 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Juuse Saros wins · Juuse Saros | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 323 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Mackenzie Blackwood wins · Mackenzie Blackwood | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 275 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Frederik Andersen wins · Frederik Andersen | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 233 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Yaroslav Askarov wins · Yaroslav Askarov | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 16 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Arturs Silovs wins · Arturs Silovs | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: John Gibson wins · John Gibson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Thatcher Demko wins · Thatcher Demko | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Petr Mrazek wins · Petr Mrazek | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Kevin Lankinen wins · Kevin Lankinen | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Joseph Woll wins · Joseph Woll | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Jordan Binnington wins · Jordan Binnington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Elvis Merzlikins wins · Elvis Merzlikins | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Dustin Wolf wins · Dustin Wolf | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Darcy Kuemper wins · Darcy Kuemper | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Cam Talbot wins · Cam Talbot | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Charlie Lindgren wins · Charlie Lindgren | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Connor Ingram wins · Connor Ingram | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Anthony Stolarz wins · Anthony Stolarz | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Akira Schmid wins · Akira Schmid | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Vezina Trophy: Adin Hill wins · Adin Hill | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.