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NWSL Champion on Kalshi
If the Washington Spirit are the 2026 NWSL Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NWSL, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Diego Wave FC win the NWSL Championship Game? · San Diego Wave FC | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5,717 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Gotham FC win the NWSL Championship Game? · Gotham FC | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 4,737 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Washington Spirit win the NWSL Championship Game? · Washington Spirit | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 4,145 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Angel City FC win the NWSL Championship Game? · Angel City FC | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,885 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Utah Royals FC win the NWSL Championship Game? · Utah Royals FC | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 2,097 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City Current win the NWSL Championship Game? · Kansas City Current | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 1,550 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago Stars win the NWSL Championship Game? · Chicago Stars | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,314 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Boston Legacy FC win the NWSL Championship Game? · Boston Legacy FC | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,265 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Portland Thorns win the NWSL Championship Game? · Portland Thorns | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,154 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Denver Summit FC win the NWSL Championship Game? · Denver Summit FC | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,013 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will North Carolina Courage win the NWSL Championship Game? · North Carolina Courage | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 482 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle Reign win the NWSL Championship Game? · Seattle Reign | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 279 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Orlando Pride win the NWSL Championship Game? · Orlando Pride | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 171 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Houston Dash win the NWSL Championship Game? · Houston Dash | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 102 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Bay FC win the NWSL Championship Game? · Bay FC | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 83 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Louisville win the NWSL Championship Game? · Racing Louisville | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Dec 06, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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