What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 74¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.93.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 75% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 74%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Economics

Port of New York and New Jersey container volume on Kalshi

If the Port Authority reports that the Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in calendar year 2026 is above 9.1 million TEUs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Market says (typical open contract)

74%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

53% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
73¢ (now)	1.4¢	$0.95	74.4%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.8 million TEUs? · Above 8.8 million TEUs	74¢	74%	1.4¢	—	53%	48,091	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.7 million TEUs? · Above 8.7 million TEUs	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	31%	47,557	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 9.1 million TEUs? · Above 9.1 million TEUs	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	45,825	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.9 million TEUs? · Above 8.9 million TEUs	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	44,294	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.6 million TEUs? · Above 8.6 million TEUs	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	39,647	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 9.0 million TEUs? · Above 9.0 million TEUs	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	38,500	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 9.2 million TEUs? · Above 9.2 million TEUs	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	6,386	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.4 million TEUs? · Above 8.4 million TEUs	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	9%	3,901	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC
Will Port of New York and New Jersey total TEUs handled in 2026 be above 8.5 million TEUs? · Above 8.5 million TEUs	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	3,739	Feb 28, 14:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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