What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Oscar for Best Actress on Kalshi

If Zendaya has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Inde Navarrette	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	141,979	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Julianne Moore	74¢	74%	1.4¢	—	53%	71,793	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Anne hathaway win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Anne hathaway	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	32,513	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Olivia Wilde win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Olivia Wilde	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	17,317	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Renate Reinsve	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	16,660	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Tie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	13,710	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Sandra Hüller	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	13,579	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Scarlett Johansson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,874	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Penélope Cruz	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,386	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Zendaya win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Zendaya	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	8,752	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Mikey Madison	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	8,212	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Cynthia Erivo	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6,977	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Joan Collins win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Joan Collins	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,301	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Kirsten Dunst win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Kirsten Dunst	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,040	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Natalie Portman win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Natalie Portman	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	811	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Dakota Johnson win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Dakota Johnson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	339	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Marion Bailey win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Marion Bailey	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	300	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Shailene Woodley win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Shailene Woodley	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	145	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Kate O'Flynn win Best Actress at the Oscars? · Kate O'Flynn	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	105	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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