What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Oscar for Best MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING on Kalshi

If Wicker has won Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Dune: Part Three	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	6,537	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Digger	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	5,679	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Werwulf	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	95%	5,165	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · The Odyssey	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	31%	4,544	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Wicker win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Wicker	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	2,145	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Clayface win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Clayface	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,628	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Michael	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	418	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Madden win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Madden	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	202	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will I Love Boosters win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · I Love Boosters	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	159	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Rose win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Rose	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	131	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · The Social Reckoning	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will UNABOMBER win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · UNABOMBER	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Tie	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Cry to Heaven win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars? · Cry to Heaven	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.