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Paramount+ app downloads on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 40.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
28%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
56% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.52 | 29.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 87 ? · Above 87 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 19,376 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 128 ? · Above 128 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,897 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 149 ? · Above 149 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 1,500 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 111 ? · Above 111 | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,331 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 102.5 ? · Above 102.5 | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 1,084 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 71.5 ? · Above 71.5 | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 300 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 119.5 ? · Above 119.5 | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 223 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 56 ? · Above 56 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 52 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 137.5 ? · Above 137.5 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 20 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 40.5 ? · Above 40.5 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Paramount+ app downloads for November 2026 be above 176 ? · Above 176 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.