What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 42¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.03.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 44% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 42%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

UiPath quarter kpi on Kalshi

If UiPath Inc. reports Above 418 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

42%

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

84% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
42¢ (now)	1.7¢	$2.03	43.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 415 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 415	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	163	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 418 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 418	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 412 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 412	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 409 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 409	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 406 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 406	27¢	27%	1.4¢	—	54%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 403 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 403	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	84%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 400 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 400	58¢	58%	1.7¢	—	84%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 397 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 397	73¢	73%	1.4¢	—	54%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 394 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 394	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 391 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 391	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC
Will UiPath Inc. report Above 388 customers with arr of at least $1m in Q3 2027? · Above 388	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Apr 01, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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