Markets › Kalshi › Financials
UiPath annual kpi on Kalshi
If UiPath Inc. reports Above 450 customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
63%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
74% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 63¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $1.30 | 64.6% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UiPath Inc. report Above 420 customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 420 | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 432 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will UiPath Inc. report Above 450 customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 450 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will UiPath Inc. report Above 440 customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 440 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will UiPath Inc. report Above 430 customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 430 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will UiPath Inc. report Above 410 customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 410 | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
| Will UiPath Inc. report Above 400 customers with arr of at least $1m in fiscal 2027? · Above 400 | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jun 08, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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