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Paymentus quarter kpi on Kalshi
If Paymentus Holdings Inc. reports Above 255000000 transactions processed in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paymentus Holdings Inc. report Above 255 million transactions processed in Q1 2027? · Above 255 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 6,090 | Aug 31, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Paymentus Holdings Inc. report Above 230 million transactions processed in Q1 2027? · Above 230 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,600 | Aug 31, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Paymentus Holdings Inc. report Above 240 million transactions processed in Q1 2027? · Above 240 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 692 | Aug 31, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Paymentus Holdings Inc. report Above 245 million transactions processed in Q1 2027? · Above 245 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 560 | Aug 31, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Paymentus Holdings Inc. report Above 235 million transactions processed in Q1 2027? · Above 235 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 223 | Aug 31, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Paymentus Holdings Inc. report Above 250 million transactions processed in Q1 2027? · Above 250 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Aug 31, 20:00 UTC |
| Will Paymentus Holdings Inc. report Above 225 million transactions processed in Q1 2027? · Above 225 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Aug 31, 20:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.