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How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? on Kalshi
If the number of Representatives voting Yea on the Protect College Sports Act before Jan 1, 2027 is above 319, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Library of Congress.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
15% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive below 200 Yea votes in the House? · Below 200 | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 1,594 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive above 319 Yea votes in the House? · Above 319 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 300 and 319 Yea votes in the House? · 300-319 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 280 and 299 Yea votes in the House? · 280-299 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 260 and 279 Yea votes in the House? · 260-279 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 240 and 259 Yea votes in the House? · 240-259 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 220 and 239 Yea votes in the House? · 220-239 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 200 and 219 Yea votes in the House? · 200-219 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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