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How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act? on Kalshi

If the number of Representatives voting Yea on the Protect College Sports Act before Jan 1, 2027 is above 319, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Library of Congress.

Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
15% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
7¢ (now)0.5¢$3.257.5%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive below 200 Yea votes in the House? · Below 20042¢42%1.7¢—85%1,594Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive above 319 Yea votes in the House? · Above 3196¢6%0.4¢—11%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 300 and 319 Yea votes in the House? · 300-3198¢8%0.5¢—15%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 280 and 299 Yea votes in the House? · 280-29910¢10%0.6¢—20%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 260 and 279 Yea votes in the House? · 260-2798¢8%0.5¢—15%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 240 and 259 Yea votes in the House? · 240-2598¢8%0.5¢—15%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 220 and 239 Yea votes in the House? · 220-2398¢8%0.5¢—15%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will the Protect College Sports Act receive between 200 and 219 Yea votes in the House? · 200-2198¢8%0.5¢—15%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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