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Who will headline the Super Bowl halftime show? on Kalshi
If Mary J. Blige performs at (or it is announced that they will perform at) the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: official broadcaster of <event>, Fox News, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, CNN, MTV, Reuters, <performer>, official <event> website, Entertainment Weekly, Deadline, the Associated Press, The Hollywood Reporter, official social media accounts of confirmed performers.
Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 146 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
20% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.15 | 10.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Miley Cyrus | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 58,678 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Kanye West / Ye | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 23,023 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Taylor Swift | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 22,847 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Ella Langley | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 22,288 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Justin Bieber | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 19,361 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Beyoncé | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 15,036 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Pharrell Williams | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 9,434 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Rihanna | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 3,867 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · BTS | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 3,668 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Linkin Park | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 3,495 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Drake | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 2,306 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Justin Timberlake | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 2,280 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Morgan Wallen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 2,278 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alicia Keys perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Alicia Keys | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 2,258 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Dua Lipa | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,758 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Billie Eilish | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,728 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Post Malone | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,704 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Lady Gaga | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,678 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Backstreet Boys | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,397 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Bruno Mars | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 1,253 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Eminem | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 1,163 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SWIZZ BEATS perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Swizz Beatz | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 1,095 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Luke Combs | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 1,040 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Mariah Carey | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 1,038 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Shaboozey | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 930 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · J. Cole | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 851 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Sabrina Carpenter | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 821 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Cardi B | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 805 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Tyler, The Creator | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 659 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will NAS perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · NAS | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 587 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Ed Sheeran | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 563 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Stray Kids | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 550 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Ariana Grande | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 530 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Future | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 520 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Lil Wayne | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 498 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Calvin Harris | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 475 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Blue Ivy Carter perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Blue Ivy Carter | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 363 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Tate McRae | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 351 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Chris Brown | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 348 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform at the 2027 Pro Football Championship Halftime Show scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027? · Metallica | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 347 | Feb 15, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 146 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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