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PFA Player of The Year on Kalshi
If William Saliba wins Professional Footballers' Association (PFA) Men's Players' Player of the Year (Premier League) for 2026-2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Rice wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Declan Rice | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 24 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| David Raya wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · David Raya | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 19 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Cole Palmer wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Cole Palmer | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 10 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| William Saliba wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · William Saliba | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Virgil van Dijk wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Virgil van Dijk | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Rayan Cherki wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Rayan Cherki | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Pascal Gross wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Pascal Gross | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Phil Foden wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Phil Foden | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Morgan Rogers wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Morgan Rogers | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Martin Odegaard wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Martin Odegaard | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Kai Havertz wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Kai Havertz | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Joao Pedro wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Joao Pedro | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Josko Gvardiol wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Josko Gvardiol | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Gabriel Magalhaes wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Gabriel Magalhaes | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Florian Wirtz wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Florian Wirtz | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Erling Haaland wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Erling Haaland | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Enzo Fernandez wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Enzo Fernandez | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Elliot Anderson wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Elliot Anderson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Dominik Szoboszlai wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Dominik Szoboszlai | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Christos Tzolis wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Christos Tzolis | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Cody Gakpo wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Cody Gakpo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Benjamin Sesko wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Benjamin Sesko | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Bukayo Saka wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Bukayo Saka | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Bryan Mbeumo wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Bryan Mbeumo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Bruno Guimaraes wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Bruno Guimaraes | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Bruno Fernandes wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Bruno Fernandes | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Bradley Barcola wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Bradley Barcola | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Antoine Semenyo wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Antoine Semenyo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Alexander Isak wins PFA Player of the Year for the 2026-2027 season? · Alexander Isak | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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