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PGA Round 3 Leader on Kalshi
If Zecheng Dou is the leader at the end of Round 3 in the 2026 Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 111 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
21% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.15 | 10.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zecheng Dou leads at the end of Round 3 · Zecheng Dou | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Zac Blair leads at the end of Round 3 · Zac Blair | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Zachary Bauchou leads at the end of Round 3 · Zachary Bauchou | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| William Mouw leads at the end of Round 3 · William Mouw | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Vince Whaley leads at the end of Round 3 · Vince Whaley | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Taylor Pendrith leads at the end of Round 3 · Taylor Pendrith | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Thomas Morrison leads at the end of Round 3 · Thomas Morrison | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Taylor Moore leads at the end of Round 3 · Taylor Moore | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Takumi Kanaya leads at the end of Round 3 · Takumi Kanaya | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Tom Hoge leads at the end of Round 3 · Tom Hoge | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Trace Crowe leads at the end of Round 3 · Trace Crowe | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju leads at the end of Round 3 · Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Sami Valimaki leads at the end of Round 3 · Sami Valimaki | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Sam Stevens leads at the end of Round 3 · Sam Stevens | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Seamus Power leads at the end of Round 3 · Seamus Power | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Stephan Jaeger leads at the end of Round 3 · Stephan Jaeger | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen leads at the end of Round 3 · Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Rikuya Hoshino leads at the end of Round 3 · Rikuya Hoshino | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Rasmus Hojgaard leads at the end of Round 3 · Rasmus Hojgaard | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Rico Hoey leads at the end of Round 3 · Rico Hoey | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Ricky Castillo leads at the end of Round 3 · Ricky Castillo | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Rafael Campos leads at the end of Round 3 · Rafael Campos | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Patrick Rodgers leads at the end of Round 3 · Patrick Rodgers | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Pontus Nyholm leads at the end of Round 3 · Pontus Nyholm | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Peter Malnati leads at the end of Round 3 · Peter Malnati | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Patton Kizzire leads at the end of Round 3 · Patton Kizzire | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Patrick Fishburn leads at the end of Round 3 · Patrick Fishburn | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Pierceson Coody leads at the end of Round 3 · Pierceson Coody | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Nick Taylor leads at the end of Round 3 · Nick Taylor | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Neal Shipley leads at the end of Round 3 · Neal Shipley | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Nicholas Lindheim leads at the end of Round 3 · Nicholas Lindheim | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Nick Dunlap leads at the end of Round 3 · Nick Dunlap | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Michael Thompson leads at the end of Round 3 · Michael Thompson | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Miles Russell leads at the end of Round 3 · Miles Russell | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Marcelo Rozo leads at the end of Round 3 · Marcelo Rozo | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Marco Penge leads at the end of Round 3 · Marco Penge | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Matthieu Pavon leads at the end of Round 3 · Matthieu Pavon | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Mac Meissner leads at the end of Round 3 · Mac Meissner | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Max McGreevy leads at the end of Round 3 · Max McGreevy | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Matt McCarty leads at the end of Round 3 · Matt McCarty | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 111 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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