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PGA Top 10 Finisher on Kalshi
If Zecheng Dou finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
11%
Median YES price across 110 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
22% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.12 | 11.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Smotherman finishes top 10 · Austin Smotherman | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 385 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Luke Clanton finishes top 10 · Luke Clanton | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 365 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Emiliano Grillo finishes top 10 · Emiliano Grillo | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 316 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Ricky Castillo finishes top 10 · Ricky Castillo | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 262 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Cole Sherwood finishes top 10 · Cole Sherwood | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 181 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Kensei Hirata finishes top 10 · Kensei Hirata | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 164 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Blades Brown finishes top 10 · Blades Brown | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 153 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Doug Ghim finishes top 10 · Doug Ghim | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 141 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jackson Koivun finishes top 10 · Jackson Koivun | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 134 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Neal Shipley finishes top 10 · Neal Shipley | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 100 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Pierceson Coody finishes top 10 · Pierceson Coody | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 83 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Max Greyserman finishes top 10 · Max Greyserman | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 83 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Gordon Sargent finishes top 10 · Gordon Sargent | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 75 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Ben Kohles finishes top 10 · Ben Kohles | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 50 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Andrew Novak finishes top 10 · Andrew Novak | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 42 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes top 10 · Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 41 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Adrien Saddier finishes top 10 · Adrien Saddier | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 20 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jordan L. Smith finishes top 10 · Jordan L. Smith | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 16 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Rafael Campos finishes top 10 · Rafael Campos | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 15 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Chris Kirk finishes top 10 · Chris Kirk | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 15 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Hank Lebioda finishes top 10 · Hank Lebioda | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 13 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Christiaan Maas finishes top 10 · Christiaan Maas | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 13 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Max Homa finishes top 10 · Max Homa | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 11 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Patton Kizzire finishes top 10 · Patton Kizzire | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 10 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jeffrey Kang finishes top 10 · Jeffrey Kang | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 10 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Davis Chatfield finishes top 10 · Davis Chatfield | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 10 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Adam Svensson finishes top 10 · Adam Svensson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 10 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Miles Russell finishes top 10 · Miles Russell | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Sami Valimaki finishes top 10 · Sami Valimaki | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 5 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Seamus Power finishes top 10 · Seamus Power | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 5 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| David Ford finishes top 10 · David Ford | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 4 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Mac Meissner finishes top 10 · Mac Meissner | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 3 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Jackson Suber finishes top 10 · Jackson Suber | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 3 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Davis Riley finishes top 10 · Davis Riley | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 3 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Chandler Phillips finishes top 10 · Chandler Phillips | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 3 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Marco Penge finishes top 10 · Marco Penge | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 1 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Zecheng Dou finishes top 10 · Zecheng Dou | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Zac Blair finishes top 10 · Zac Blair | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Zachary Bauchou finishes top 10 · Zachary Bauchou | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
| William Mouw finishes top 10 · William Mouw | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Dec 13, 00:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 110 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.