Markets › Kalshi › Sports
PGA Tour on Kalshi
If Zecheng Dou wins the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 163 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Tom Hoge wins · Tom Hoge | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 0% | 279,262 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Doug Ghim wins · Doug Ghim | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 181,234 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Scottie Scheffler wins · Scottie Scheffler | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 125,480 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Pierceson Coody wins · Pierceson Coody | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 99,521 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Tiger Woods wins · Tiger Woods | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 96,377 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Rory McIlroy wins · Rory McIlroy | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 17% | 95,473 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Kensei Hirata wins · Kensei Hirata | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 83,979 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Austin Smotherman wins · Austin Smotherman | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 82,869 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Jackson Koivun wins · Jackson Koivun | 5¢ | 5% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 73,455 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Jackson Koivun wins · Jackson Koivun | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 59,329 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Ben Kohles wins · Ben Kohles | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 59,127 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Blades Brown wins · Blades Brown | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 55,386 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Jacob Bridgeman wins · Jacob Bridgeman | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 54,201 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Cameron Young wins · Cameron Young | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 53,895 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Davis Thompson wins · Davis Thompson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 52,463 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Ryan Gerard wins · Ryan Gerard | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 51,739 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Justin Rose wins · Justin Rose | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 49,771 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Ludvig Aberg wins · Ludvig Aberg | 5¢ | 5% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 49,046 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Chris Kirk wins · Chris Kirk | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 48,297 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Jordan Spieth wins · Jordan Spieth | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 48,195 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Sungjae Im wins · Sungjae Im | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 47,013 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Xander Schauffele wins · Xander Schauffele | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 46,635 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Andrew Novak wins · Andrew Novak | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 46,368 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Chris Gotterup wins · Chris Gotterup | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 46,307 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Matt Fitzpatrick wins · Matt Fitzpatrick | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 45,619 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Hideki Matsuyama wins · Hideki Matsuyama | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 45,190 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Michael Brennan wins · Michael Brennan | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 44,972 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Bryson DeChambeau wins · Bryson DeChambeau | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 44,304 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Sudarshan Yellamaraju wins · Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 42,850 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: J.J. Spaun wins · J.J. Spaun | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 42,476 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Kevin Roy wins · Kevin Roy | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 41,834 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Joaquin Niemann wins · Joaquin Niemann | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 41,291 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Justin Thomas wins · Justin Thomas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 40,846 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Jon Rahm wins · Jon Rahm | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 40,394 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: David Ford wins · David Ford | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 40,151 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Shane Lowry wins · Shane Lowry | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 40,041 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Sam Stevens wins · Sam Stevens | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 39,713 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Viktor Hovland wins · Viktor Hovland | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 38,676 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Tom Kim wins · Tom Kim | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 38,644 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
| Masters Tournament: Patrick Cantlay wins · Patrick Cantlay | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 37,510 | Apr 25, 23:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 163 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.