Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Platinum Hourly on Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for platinum on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM EST is above 1586.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Platinum.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 210 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the platinum close price be above 1554.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1554.49 | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 116 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1555.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1555.49 | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 107 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1552.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1552.49 | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 37 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1556.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1556.99 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 27 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1552.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1552.99 | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 25 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1553.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1553.49 | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 23 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1556.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1556.49 | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 17 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1563.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1563.49 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 9 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1562.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1562.49 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 9 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1557.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1557.99 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 9 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1553.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1553.99 | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 9 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1561.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1561.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 8 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1550.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1550.49 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 8 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1568.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1568.49 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 7 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1566.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1566.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 7 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1548.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1548.99 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 7 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1545.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1545.49 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 7 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1545.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1545.99 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1586.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1586.99 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1586.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1586.49 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1585.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1585.99 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1585.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1585.49 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1584.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1584.99 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1584.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1584.49 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1583.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1583.99 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1583.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1583.49 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1582.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1582.99 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1586.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1586.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1586.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1586.49 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1585.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1585.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1585.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1585.49 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1584.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1584.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1584.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1584.49 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1583.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1583.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1583.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1583.49 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1582.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1582.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1582.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1582.49 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1581.99 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1581.99 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1581.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET? · Above $1581.49 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 10, 11:00 UTC |
| Will the platinum close price be above 1582.49 USD/ounce on November 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET? · Above $1582.49 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 210 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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