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Prague mayoral election winner on Kalshi
If Václav Láska wins the first successful City Assembly vote electing Mayor of Prague following the October 2026 municipal election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Prague City Assembly, City of Prague, Czech Statistical Office election portal.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tereza Nislerová win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Tereza Nislerová | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,500 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Václav Láska win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Václav Láska | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,158 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Milan Urban win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Milan Urban | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,500 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Klára Sovová win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Klára Sovová | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,500 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jana Komrsková win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Jana Komrsková | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,500 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tomáš Portlík win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Tomáš Portlík | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2,002 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Petr Hlaváček win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Petr Hlaváček | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 857 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Adam Scheinherr win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Adam Scheinherr | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 487 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jan Hušbauer win the first Prague mayoral election following the October 2026 municipal election? · Jan Hušbauer | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 11 | Oct 10, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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