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PREM Rugby Champion on Kalshi
If Saracens wins the 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Flashscore, ESPN, Sofascore, BBC Sport, PREM Rugby.
Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
19% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.15 | 10.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Northampton Saints · Northampton Saints | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 60 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Saracens · Saracens | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Sale Sharks · Sale Sharks | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Newcastle Red Bulls · Newcastle Red Bulls | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Leicester Tigers · Leicester Tigers | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Harlequins · Harlequins | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Gloucester · Gloucester | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Exeter Chiefs · Exeter Chiefs | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Bristol Bears · Bristol Bears | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 Gallagher PREM Rugby Champion: Bath Rugby · Bath Rugby | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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