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PREMIER LEAGUE on Kalshi
If Tottenham is the 2026-27 English Premier League champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the English Premier League? · Manchester City | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 908,090 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Chelsea win the English Premier League? · Chelsea | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 866,991 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Arsenal win the English Premier League? · Arsenal | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 822,458 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Liverpool win the English Premier League? · Liverpool | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 782,471 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Brighton win the English Premier League? · Brighton | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 757,641 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United win the English Premier League? · Manchester United | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 704,411 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Tottenham win the English Premier League? · Tottenham | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 410,662 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa win the English Premier League? · Aston Villa | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 204,606 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Hull City win the English Premier League? · Hull City | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 140,241 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Brentford win the English Premier League? · Brentford | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 102,438 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Leeds United win the English Premier League? · Leeds United | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 67,342 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Everton win the English Premier League? · Everton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 43,818 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Newcastle United win the English Premier League? · Newcastle United | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 43,116 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Coventry City win the English Premier League? · Coventry City | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 31,415 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Crystal Palace win the English Premier League? · Crystal Palace | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 24,929 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth win the English Premier League? · Bournemouth | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,412 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Ipswich Town win the English Premier League? · Ipswich Town | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,455 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Sunderland win the English Premier League? · Sunderland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,408 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Fulham win the English Premier League? · Fulham | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,338 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Nottingham Forest win the English Premier League? · Nottingham Forest | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,669 | Jun 13, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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