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TOP FANTASY FOOTBALL K on Kalshi
If Will Reichard is the #1 scoring Kicker on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Kicker Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN Fantasy.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Brandon Aubrey | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 365 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Cam Little | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 242 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Ka'imi Fairbairn | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 167 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Will Reichard | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 149 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Harrison Mevis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 67 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Jake Bates | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 64 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Tyler Loop | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 61 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Charlie Smyth | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 50 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Chris Boswell | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 49 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Jason Myers | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 40 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Harrison Butker | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 39 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Cairo Santos | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 28 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Nick Folk | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 25 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Cameron Dicker | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 24 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top Kicker? · Eddy Pineiro | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 19 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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