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TOP FANTASY FOOTBALL RB on Kalshi
If Travis Etienne Jr. is the #1 scoring RB on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Running Back Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN Fantasy.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 21 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Ashton Jeanty | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 13,464 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Jahmyr Gibbs | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 9,628 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · James Cook III | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,550 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Omarion Hampton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,445 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Kenneth Walker III | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 5,119 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Bijan Robinson | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 4,289 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · De'Von Achane | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 2,501 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Chase Brown | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,245 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Christian McCaffrey | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,985 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Derrick Henry | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,758 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Saquon Barkley | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,757 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Jonathan Taylor | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,246 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Cam Skattebo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 913 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Breece Hall | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 774 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Javonte Williams | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 648 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Josh Jacobs | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 623 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Jeremiyah Love | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 621 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Bucky Irving | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 427 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Travis Etienne Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 356 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · David Montgomery | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 352 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top RB? · Kyren Williams | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 344 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.