Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Roblox KPI on Kalshi
If Roblox Corporation reports Above 42000000000 hours engaged in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
54%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
91% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 54¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.61 | 55.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 42 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 42 billion | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 12,910 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 130 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 130 million | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 724 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 34 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 34 billion | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 115 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 40 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 40 billion | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 38 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 38 billion | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 36 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 36 billion | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 32 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 32 billion | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 30 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 30 billion | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 28 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 28 billion | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 26 billion hours engaged in Q1 2027? · Above 26 billion | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 155 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 155 million | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 150 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 150 million | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 145 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 145 million | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 140 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 140 million | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 135 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 135 million | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 125 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 125 million | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 120 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 120 million | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 115 million daily active users in Q1 2027? · Above 115 million | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 28, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.