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Roblox Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Roblox Corporation reports Above 120000000000 hours engaged in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
49%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 140 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 140 billion | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 5,155 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 135 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 135 billion | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 3,578 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 145 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 145 billion | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 1,930 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 150 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 150 billion | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,878 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 145 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 145 million | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 1,342 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 155 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 155 billion | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,317 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 150 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 150 million | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 719 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 170 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 170 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 493 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 160 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 160 billion | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 418 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 175 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 175 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 340 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 155 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 155 million | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 326 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 130 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 130 billion | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 265 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 160 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 160 million | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 210 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 165 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 165 million | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 188 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 125 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 125 billion | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 122 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 165 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 165 billion | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 85 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 140 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 140 million | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 3 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 130 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 130 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 3 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 120 billion hours engaged in fiscal 2026? · Above 120 billion | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Roblox Corporation report Above 135 million daily active users in fiscal 2026? · Above 135 million | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | May 12, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.