What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 94¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.19.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 95% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 94%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Recalled officials on Kalshi

If Susan Ptaszenski is recalled in the Nov 3, 2026 Hamlin Township (Mason County), Michigan Treasurer recall election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Miami County Board of Elections, Tom Green County Elections, Mason County Clerk, Oklahoma State Election Board, Wabaunsee County Clerk, Rockwall County Elections, Cass County Clerk, Sanilac County Clerk, Wexford County Clerk, Berrien County Clerk, Ingham County Clerk, Bay County Clerk, Champaign County Board of Elections, Brazoria County Elections.

Market says (typical open contract)

94%

Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

11% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
95¢ (now)	0.3¢	$0.18	95.3%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Jerry Cain be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Jerry Cain	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	807	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Christina Price be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Christina Price	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	653	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Laurie DeShano be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Laurie DeShano	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	457	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Elaine Ferris be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Elaine Ferris	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	353	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Brian Pillmore be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Brian Pillmore	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	300	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will James Vetter be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · James Vetter	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	250	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Harry Thomas be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Harry Thomas	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	250	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Susan Ptaszenski be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Susan Ptaszenski	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	120	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Andrew Greenberg be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Andrew Greenberg	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	117	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Amanda Kimbel-Sparks be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Amanda Kimbel-Sparks	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	105	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Bill Bean be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Bill Bean	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	100	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Sheila Coats be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Sheila Coats	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	10	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC
Will Evan Hickman be recalled on Nov 3, 2026? · Evan Hickman	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	0	Nov 03, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.