What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 51¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.72.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 53% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 51%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Companies

when will entity complete project on Kalshi

If Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. completes The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio Before Mar 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fox, New York Times, CBS, the State of New Jersey, Bloomberg, Netflix, AP, The Wall Street Journal, Reuters, MSNBC, CNN, The Washington Post, ABC.

Market says (typical open contract)

51%

Median YES price across 4 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

98% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
51¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.72	52.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Jan 1, 2027? · Before Jan 1, 2027	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	96%	23,632	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Feb 1, 2027? · Before Feb 1, 2027	51¢	51%	1.7¢	—	98%	22,224	Feb 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Dec 1, 2026? · Before Dec 1, 2026	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	13,770	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Rock and Roll Hall of Fame and Museum, Inc. complete The Rock & Roll Hall of Fame’s 50,000-square-foot museum expansion in Cleveland, Ohio before Mar 1, 2027? · Before Mar 1, 2027	83¢	83%	1.0¢	—	34%	10,849	Mar 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.