Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
Rotten Tomatoes Score on Kalshi
If Blade Runner 2099 has a Tomatometer score of above 90 on Nov 28, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Rotten Tomatoes.
Market says (typical open contract)
64%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
71% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 65¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $1.23 | 66.6% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 85 | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 7,687 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 65 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 3,641 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 75 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 932 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 65 | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 833 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 85 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 397 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 80 | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 337 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 90 | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 243 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 45 | 86¢ | 86% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 216 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 90 | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 134 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 75 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 79 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 60 | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 67 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 50 | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 37 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 70 | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 34 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Blade Runner 2099 Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 55 | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 30 | Nov 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 80 | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 29 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 60 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 12 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 55 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 6 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 70 | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 50 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
| Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone Rotten Tomatoes score? · Above 45 | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Dec 28, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.